The Paradox
The paradoxical nature can be stated in many ways, which may be useful for understanding analysis proposed by philosophers:
- In line with Newcomb's paradox, an omniscient pay-off mechanism makes a person's decision known to him before he makes the decision, but it is also assumed that the person may change his decision afterwards, of free will.
- Similarly in line with Newcomb's paradox; Kavka's claim, that one cannot intend what one will not do, makes pay-off mechanism an example of reverse causation.
- Pay-off for decision to drink the poison is ambiguous.
- There are two decisions for one event with different pay-offs.
Since the pain caused by the poison would be more than off-set by the money received, we can sketch the pay-off table as follows.
Intend | Do not intend | |
---|---|---|
Drink | 90 | −10 |
Do not drink | 100 | 0 |
According to Kavka: Whether you are paid or not, drinking the poison would leave you worse off. A rational person would know he would not drink the poison and thus could not intend to drink it.
Intend | Do not intend | |
---|---|---|
Drink | Impossible | −10 |
Do not drink | Impossible | 0 |
David Gauthier argues once a person intends drinking the poison one cannot entertain ideas of not drinking it.
-
- The rational outcome of your deliberation tomorrow morning is the action that will be part of your life going as well as possible, subject to the constraint that it be compatible with your commitment-in this case, compatible with the sincere intention that you form today to drink the toxin. And so the rational action is to drink the toxin.
Intend | Do not intend | |
---|---|---|
Drink | 90 | −10 |
Do not drink | Impossible | 0 |
One of the central tenets of the puzzle is that for a reasonable person
- There is reasonable grounds for that person to drink the toxin, since some reward may be obtained.
- Having come to the above conclusion there is no reasonable grounds for that person to drink the toxin, since no further reward may be obtained, and no reasonable person would partake in self-harm for no benefit.
Thus a reasonable person must intend to drink the toxin by the first argument, yet if that person intends to drink the toxin, he is being irrational by the second argument.
Read more about this topic: Kavka's Toxin Puzzle
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