Frequentist Probability - History

History

The frequentist view was arguably foreshadowed by Aristotle, in Rhetoric, when he wrote:

the probable is that which for the most part happens

It was given explicit statement by Robert Leslie Ellis in "On the Foundations of the Theory of Probabilities" read on 14 February 1842, (and much later again in "Remarks on the Fundamental Principles of the Theory of Probabilities"). Antoine Augustin Cournot presented the same conception in 1843, in Exposition de la théorie des chances et des probabilités.

Perhaps the first elaborate and systematic exposition was by John Venn, in The Logic of Chance: An Essay on the Foundations and Province of the Theory of Probability (published editions in 1866, 1876, 1888).

Read more about this topic:  Frequentist Probability

Famous quotes containing the word history:

    Both place and time were changed, and I dwelt nearer to those parts of the universe and to those eras in history which had most attracted me.
    Henry David Thoreau (1817–1862)

    My good friends, this is the second time in our history that there has come back from Germany to Downing Street peace with honour. I believe it is peace for our time. We thank you from the bottom of our hearts. And now I recommend you to go home and sleep quietly in your beds.
    Neville Chamberlain (1869–1940)

    Hence poetry is something more philosophic and of graver import than history, since its statements are rather of the nature of universals, whereas those of history are singulars.
    Aristotle (384–322 B.C.)