Frequentist Probability - History

History

The frequentist view was arguably foreshadowed by Aristotle, in Rhetoric, when he wrote:

the probable is that which for the most part happens

It was given explicit statement by Robert Leslie Ellis in "On the Foundations of the Theory of Probabilities" read on 14 February 1842, (and much later again in "Remarks on the Fundamental Principles of the Theory of Probabilities"). Antoine Augustin Cournot presented the same conception in 1843, in Exposition de la théorie des chances et des probabilités.

Perhaps the first elaborate and systematic exposition was by John Venn, in The Logic of Chance: An Essay on the Foundations and Province of the Theory of Probability (published editions in 1866, 1876, 1888).

Read more about this topic:  Frequentist Probability

Famous quotes containing the word history:

    There is nothing truer than myth: history, in its attempt to “realize” myth, distorts it, stops halfway; when history claims to have “succeeded” this is nothing but humbug and mystification. Everything we dream is “realizable.” Reality does not have to be: it is simply what it is.
    Eugène Ionesco (b. 1912)

    the future is simply nothing at all. Nothing has happened to the present by becoming past except that fresh slices of existence have been added to the total history of the world. The past is thus as real as the present.
    Charlie Dunbar Broad (1887–1971)

    The history of the world is the record of the weakness, frailty and death of public opinion.
    Samuel Butler (1835–1902)