Example: Voting On The Location of Tennessee's Capital
Imagine that Tennessee is having an election on the location of its capital. The population of Tennessee is concentrated around its four major cities, which are spread throughout the state. For this example, suppose that the entire electorate lives in these four cities and that everyone wants to live as near to the capital as possible.
The candidates for the capital are:
- Memphis, the state's largest city, with 42% of the voters, but located far from the other cities
- Nashville, with 26% of the voters, near the center of the state
- Knoxville, with 17% of the voters
- Chattanooga, with 15% of the voters
The preferences of the voters would be divided like this:
42% of voters |
26% of voters |
15% of voters |
17% of voters |
---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
To find the Condorcet winner every candidate must be matched against every other candidate in a series of imaginary one-on-one contests. In each pairing the winner is the candidate preferred by a majority of voters. When results for every possible pairing have been found they are as follows:
Pair | Winner |
---|---|
Memphis (42%) vs. Nashville (58%) | Nashville |
Memphis (42%) vs. Chattanooga (58%) | Chattanooga |
Memphis (42%) vs. Knoxville (58%) | Knoxville |
Nashville (68%) vs. Chattanooga (32%) | Nashville |
Nashville (68%) vs. Knoxville (32%) | Nashville |
Chattanooga (83%) vs. Knoxville (17%) | Chattanooga |
The results can also be shown in the form of a matrix:
A | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Memphis | Nashville | Chattanooga | Knoxville | ||
B | Memphis | 58% 42% |
58% 42% |
58% 42% |
|
Nashville | 42% 58% |
32% 68% |
32% 68% |
||
Chattanooga | 42% 58% |
68% 32% |
17% 83% |
||
Knoxville | 42% 58% |
68% 32% |
83% 17% |
||
Ranking: | 4th | 1st | 2nd | 3rd |
- indicates voters who preferred the candidate listed in the column caption to the candidate listed in the row caption
- indicates voters who preferred the candidate listed in the row caption to the candidate listed in the column caption
- "Ranking" is found by repeatedly removing the Condorcet winner (it is not necessary to find these rankings).
As can be seen from both of the tables above, Nashville beats every other candidate. This means that Nashville is the Condorcet winner. Nashville will thus win an election held under any possible Condorcet method.
While any Condorcet method will elect Nashville as the winner, if instead an election based on the same votes were held using first-past-the-post or instant-runoff voting, these systems would select Memphis and Knoxville respectively. This would occur despite the fact that most people would have preferred Nashville to either of those "winners". Condorcet methods make these preferences obvious rather than ignoring or discarding them.
On the other hand, note that in this example Chattanooga also defeats Knoxville and Memphis when paired against those cities. If we changed the basis for defining preference and determined that Memphis voters preferred Chattanooga as a second choice rather than as a third choice, Chattanooga would be the Condorcet winner even though finishing in last place in a first-past-the-post election.
Read more about this topic: Condorcet Method
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