2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season - Seasonal Forecasts

Seasonal Forecasts

Forecasts of hurricane activity are issued before each hurricane season by noted hurricane experts Philip J. Klotzbach, Dr. William M. Gray, and their associates at Colorado State University; and separately by NOAA forecasters.

Klotzbach's team (formerly led by Gray) has defined the average number of storms per season (1950–2000) as 9.6 tropical storms, 5.9 hurricanes, and 2.3 major hurricanes (storms exceeding Category 3 strength in the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale). A normal season, as defined by NOAA, has 6–14 named storms, with 4–8 of those reaching hurricane strength, and 1–3 major hurricanes.

Predictions of tropical activity in the 2006 season
Source Date Named
storms
Hurricanes Major
hurricanes
CSU Average (1950–2000) 9.6 5.9 2.3
NOAA Average 6–14 4–8 1–3
Record high activity from 1950–2006 28 15 8
Record low activity from 1950–2006 4 2 0
CSU December 5, 2005 17 9 5
CSU April 4, 2006 17 9 5
NOAA May 22, 2006 13–16 8–10 4–6
CSU May 31, 2006 17 9 5
CSU August 3, 2006 15 7 3
NOAA August 8, 2006 12–15 7–9 3–4
CSU September 1, 2006 13 5 2
CSU October 3, 2006 11 6 2
Actual activity 10 5 2

Read more about this topic:  2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season